Tim Treadgold

Perth commentator Tim Treadgold is one of the state's highest-profile business journalists. He brings decades of experience to Business News, offering readers sharp and insightful analysis of current events and breaking news.

Too much optimism is risky business

The right choice of words is important when talking up a mining project.

Buffett buys a $34bn ticket on the coal train

Two different financial plays in the past week share a similar view of the future.

Government’s carbon hand not so good

The financial success of ‘green’ companies has not quite lived up to the hype.

Proximity to the action pays off for Stokes

The state’s iron sector has attracted another major player in the local business scene – Kerry Stokes.

Currency convulsions to play out painfully

Looking at commodity prices in US dollar terms is giving a misleading impression of how well the world economy is recovering from the GFC.

If something seems too good to be true ...

The strength of the Australian dollar is good news for international speculators, but not for exporters.

Adapting behaviour to the ‘new normal’

Small and large investors are going to have to get used to a new paradigm as the GFC fallout continues in 2010.

Parity could push some players to the wall

A stronger Australian currency will pose major challenges in the year ahead.

Harmanis back for a second helping

ONE fortune in a lifetime is enough for most people, but not if you are the 'golden Greek', a schooldays nickname for Kerry Harmanis, the man who pocketed $500 million less than a year before the 2008 stock market meltdown.

Satterley puts the pieces in place

A STOCK exchange listing is off the agenda, but Perth property developer Nigel Satterley is creating a corporate structure that will ensure his Satterley Group stays in business long after he is gone.

10 things to watch for in ’08

Predicting the future is a mug’s game, or as US sportsman Yogi Berra once said: “the future isn’t what it used to be”.Forewarned of the dangers, Briefcase still thought it interesting to sign off 2007

An issue of accountability

Private equity might have faded as a force in the stock market, but there’s something bigger happening in the ‘private world’ – the rapid disappearance from public view, and public scrutiny, of Austra

Expect some sub-prime fall-out

Australia’s bankers tell us that a US-style sub-prime credit crisis could never happen here. Oh yeah?

Federal v state the next test

The government-versus-government blame game, one of the real blots on the Australian political and business landscape, has come to an end.

The end is coming...really

BHP Billiton’s proposed $400 billion merger with Rio Tinto is being hailed as the biggest game in the resources world, but there is a bigger force at work, and it has the potential to permanently chan

Rinehart, Forrest the winners

Gina Rinehart and Andrew Forrest, despite their obvious differences, have two characteristics in common – they both enjoy taking BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto to court over railway access and other matters.

Greed not so good after all

Wall-to-wall Labor government in Australia and flat-management theory do not appear to have much in common.

Boom's slow leak under way

Did you enjoy the boom?Briefcase hopes so, because the evidence continues to flow in that, after five bumper years, we might actually have to start working for a living.Easy money, the stuff made when

People the missing ingredient

Australia’s skills shortage is, for most people, a nuisance rather than a serious problem.

The more things change...

Business, if opinion polls are a guide, reckons a Rudd win at the November 24 election will be bad for the economy.Rubbish.Just as there was no truth in John Howard claiming credit for the booming Aus

'Do nothing' plan a winner

There’s a new kid on the business block, and he’s doing very well thanks to a secret management technique called ‘do nothing’.While not found in any textbooks, ‘do nothing’ is a management method that

Planning for the next phase

As we prepare to enter year six of the greatest resources boom Australia has experienced there’s a hunt under way for the next mining and oil investment theme to maintain the momentum.

Price always wins them over

A friend bought a pair of shoes last week.

AWB a big-picture anomaly

The price of wheat is at an all-time high, the share price of AWB Ltd (once known as the Australian Wheat Board) is at an all-time low.

Inverse yield starting to bite

Inverse yields in the money market are a telltale sign of a future recession and are high on the watch list of US economists.

Food fight the next x-factor

The world’s sub-prime credit squeeze came from nowhere, a fact that will please one seasoned observer of the way economies work, Don Stammer.

Switch to soft is on the cards

Going soft is not usually an admirable trait in anyone, and certainly not when it comes to the hardheaded world of investing.

Breweries a test for investors

The aftermath of a stock market correction is always a marvelous time for pondering some of the deeper investment questions, such as whether a business is better off following the public-listed route

'Sell' tip conspicuously absent

‘Conspicuous by his absence’ is an old expression normally reserved for someone who fails to turn up at a meeting.

A messy uranium conundrum

Namibia, Tanzania, Zambia and Malawi are a long way from Perth, but they are the names of African countries that should be burning deeply into the conscience of Western Australia’s leading uranium rec

Distilling the facts from noise

Knowing a lot about the companies in which you invest is a good thing.



Window opens for lithium hopefuls

ANALYSIS: Worldwide demand for lithium is rising and more than 20 companies in WA are on board for the ride.

All good things must eventually come to an end

A number of asset classes are facing the likelihood of a bust this year, with WA watchers’ eyes trained on the lithium sector.

WA lithium gets jump on rivals

ANALYSIS: A forecast global surge into electric cars and buyers’ growing preference for the state’s hard rock lithium ore is putting a rocket into the sector.

New model shake-up for online used car sales

The second-hand car business was revolutionised 20 years ago with the arrival of the internet, but there is a second revolution under way that promises to be even more disruptive and could have a significant effect on some of Western Australia’s best-known car yards.

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Doubts over Qantas flight plan

OPINION: As promising as it sounds, the prospect of non-stop flights from Perth to London might not be the success some people seem to believe.

Analysis: The e-tail retail divide

If anyone didn't already know that the internet is a powerful tool for retailing they do now thanks to Australia's best ever example of how to shoot yourself in the foot.

Wine a contender for worst industry

Margaret River grape growers might hate the idea of a coal mine in their backyard, but unless the outlook for Australian wine improves they might have to change their minds.

Analysis: Bunnings' market strategy

Price fixing is illegal. What about product pegging? If you haven't heard that expression before, get used to it because it is about to revolutionise Australian retailing.