Canning a psephologists’ nightmare

Don't be fooled by those claiming to be able to predict the winner of the by-election for the federal seat of Canning. Even after four weeks of frenetic campaigning by the major parties, the truth is that nobody really knows.


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Currently, the odds at Sportsbet has $1.25 for Liberals and $3.75 for Labor. Is it a good predictor?

You've also got to take in to account that the Labor candidate in 2013 was not a serious contender. No one knew who she was, including Labor faithful, and she only stuck her hand up because no one else would.

Heidelberg Heights
I'd be voting for Sustainable Population Party. The growth addiction can't continue forever. We need to protect our hip pockets, jobs, and from being trapped in embedded debt. We must develop a better model of economic growth, rather than high reliance on population growth. Angela Smith represents SPP.

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