08/05/2014 - 05:39

Archibald cool on climate outlook

08/05/2014 - 05:39

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A new book on climate change paints a grim view of the future, but not for the reasons you may think.

Archibald cool on climate outlook
Feeding the world’s growing population will present a major challenge amid a cooling climate.

Avid believers in the United Nations-promoted doctrine alleging carbon dioxide is heating the earth will be angered by Perth scientist David Archibald’s just-released book, Twilight of Abundance: Why life in the 21st Century will be Nasty, Brutish, and Short.

Their first response will be disbelief at the sheer breadth and novelty of Archibald’s case, which highlights several little-noted yet ominous global developments.

Archibald begins by pointing out that the second half of last century “was the most benign period in human history.”

The Cold War standoff meant 50 or so years of relative peace.

Humanity had cheap energy due to oil oversupply, grain production outpaced population growth, and, thankfully, “the climate slightly warmed because of the highest level of solar activity in 8,000 years.”

That beneficial confluence is now fading.

Only incorrigible optimists foresee peace ahead. Peak oil is approaching, and “the green revolution pioneered by Norman Borlaug and others” has faltered.

“If the climate were warming, vast areas of Canada and Russia could be put under the plough and could contribute to the world’s grain supply,” Archibald warns.

“But we know that the temperature of the planet has not risen for the last 17 years.

“We can be almost certain that a severe solar-driven cooling event is in train.

“Instead of the Northern Hemisphere grain belts moving north, they will be moving south.

“The US corn belt will move towards the sun belt, just as the northern limit of American Indian corn growing moved 300km south between the Medieval Warm Period [AD 950-1250] and the Little Ice Age [1350- 1850].”

Confirmation of cooler and thus tougher times is already noted, with Norway’s wheat output having slumped 48 per cent since 2007.

Canadian grain production “will become difficult”.

This global cooling and peaking of global grain and oil output are the ominous trends being ignored.

“As the cooling continues and worsens, nations dependent on imported grain are facing mass starvation,” Archibald writes.

The most obvious candidates for an unenviable place in the global food or nourishment queue are undoubtedly non-oil producing Middle East and North African (MENA) states, which have undergone huge population increases since the 1940s.

One, Pakistan, is nuclear armed.

Another, Archibald reminds us, is Egypt, which in 1798, when Napoleon reached its shores, had 4 million inhabitants.

“Today its population stands at 84 million with an annual growth rate of 1.8 percent,” Archibald says.

Egypt adds 1.5 people annually, meaning grain needs are rising by 500,000 tonnes.

“Egypt is currently growing 16 million metric tonnes a year of wheat and corn and importing a further 15mt of grain.”

Yemen, Morocco, Algeria, Jordan, Tunisia, Afghanistan, and Syria share this demographic-grain pattern.

He therefore warns of “profound geopolitical implications, namely starvation and collapse for countries that import food”.

Rather than confronting this, however, highly paid UN bureaucrats have spent years demonising carbon dioxide.

Nowhere among all their propaganda do the sun and solar cycles, which bring and have always brought about cooling-warming variations, get a look in.

That’s because it’s an inconvenient truth, one that puts paid to all fraudulent demonising of CO2.

And it’s not as if there’s a need to search far for evidence of the truth.

“The energy that keeps the earth from looking like Pluto comes from the sun, and the level and type of this solar radiation changes in cycles,” Archibald says.

“Belief in man-made global warming depends on acting as if the laws of physics are suspended and we are living in a special time in which the climate is unchanging apart from the hand of man.”

But Archibald’s focus extends way beyond laying bare the poverty of the global heating hoax and the as-yet-unnoticed geopolitical and human sustenance realities ahead, especially across MENA countries.

Output of liquid fuels, upon which agricultural output is so dependent, has entered a tightening supply phase.

That leaves a fascinating option only Archibald is courageous to advocate – exiting the burning of the world’s coal reserves so these can become stock-feed for coal-to-liquid fuels production, rather than for electricity.

But how would humanity generate electricity, upon which modern civilisation so depends?

The greens among us will be delighted to read he advocates abandoning uranium-fuelled reactors.

His answer, in a gripping chapter, is adopting safe thorium-burning molten-salt reactors.

The book is commended by, among others, Burt Rutan, aerospace engineer and designer of Voyager and Ansari X Prize winner.

“Twilight of Abundance is excellent,” Rutan writes.

“Thank you so much David Archibald, for your work in continuing to expose the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming fraud.”

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