Dollar to stay near parity: Koukoulas

The Australian dollar will hover between US90 cents and $US1.10 over the next five years, leading economist Stephen Koukoulas told a Perth audience this morning.


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Stephen Koukoulas is clearly a pathetic amateur. Currency valuation in the USD/AUD FX trade is best left to those who make the market. As a market maker in the Australian dollar and as a party having on the largest open positions in the Aussie dollar on both the PHLX and the CME's IMN according to the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission, I am happy to suggest that koukoulas has little training and no experience in currency valuation. The concepts of purchasing power/interest rate and inflation parity are obviously unknown to this man. Kokoukas, go get a banking license, spend time in wall steet and but a cartel in china if you really want to know about the future values if the Australian dollar or the china trade in general. It's sad to see how many non-Chinese like speculating on the nature if the Chinese Mather and economy especially when they have little or no exposure to it. Here's a hint for those who live in the real world... It is anticipated that monetary easing will taper in the US in the 1st half if 2014, this would result in a reversal of hot money from emerging markets like Australia back to the States and push the Aussies well below the 85 cent mark.

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